At this second, two UK-verified, government-backed programmes one able to decisive autonomous strike and the opposite an digital warfare (EW) pulse functionality are in a state of monetary limbo after packages throughout the UK Authorities and MoD ran out of subsequent step remit. Each are UK programmes of report. One was paraded on nationwide and worldwide media retailers and several other UK parliamentary opinions, as the head of British aviation innovation. The opposite was ratified by the Defence and Safety Accelerator (DASA). Every might rework Military and Navy operations and feed into the USA’s Iron Dome and Golden Dome. But each are fading into irrelevance as a result of the UK can not transfer capital at pace, and European enterprise capital is frozen in indecision. Regardless of the clear state of affairs in Ukraine persevering with as per the collapse of decision yesterday in Alaska, Urgency as we speak nonetheless doesn’t exist.
I might be working with these entities to fold the capital necessities and required manufacturing and improvement enhancements of those firms into my subsequent funding spherical, which can lead to a relocation of their operations to the US. The plight of those innovators is sadly for the very best half, the case throughout the UK and mainland EU, SME Defence sector.
I do know this as a result of I lived it. As founding father of a defence-focused firm inside three miles if the UK Minister of Defence Procurements constituency, I nonetheless needed to pivot to the US to outlive. In Britain, we scraped the sting of solvency. In America, we rebuilt to a multi-million-dollar valuation in months. Patriotism doesn’t exchange capital. Dedication doesn’t overcome delay. Westminster discuss doesn’t ship functionality.
Sixteen weeks in the past, I reached out to government administrators and CEOs throughout the UK, legacy primes, SMEs, giant and small. Silence. Calls unreturned. Guarantees damaged. Throughout the Atlantic, billion-dollar companies replied in days or hours. Chiefs of workers requested calls. Executives demanded functionality notes. Silence just isn’t impartial. It’s paralysis. It’s threat aversion embedded in tradition. It’s the jammed pipeline that starves critical provides able to delivering quick traction.
This isn’t principle. It isn’t a lament. It’s actuality. Britain’s defence trade is bleeding whereas the world strikes. Programmes slip. Orders collapse. Scientists and engineers watch their work die on the vine. Strategic alternative is surrendered. In the meantime, different nations don’t look ahead to committees, consultations, or cautious consensus. They act. They capitalise. They innovate.
Mainland Europe is best. Throughout the continent, paperwork and indecision throttle nascent defence firms. Funding mechanisms are sluggish, fragmented, and threat averse. Innovation is penalised. Agile firms face a paradox: ship cutting-edge functionality or die. Many select survival overseas. The end result: Europe loses not solely know-how but additionally sovereignty in vital defence domains. Solely this morning Bundeswehr introduced what it calls an in depth and bold plan to develop its unmanned aerial programs (UAS) stock from simply over 600 as we speak to greater than 8,000 by 2029. Ukraine produces and makes use of round 200,000 FPV per 30 days. Russia can be deploying many drones, with reviews of over 6,000 Shahed-type drones launched in July 2025 alone.
It seems that the German authorities are simply as misplaced because the UK Authorities.
Delay in autonomous programs, digital warfare, and built-in strike functionality leaves gaps in deterrence. It leaves allies uncovered. It alerts to adversaries that Western strategic posture is brittle. Coverage statements and shiny press releases can not fill the opening. Solely supply can. Solely motion can.
If the UK and Europe proceed to tie innovation to slow-moving public procurement or hesitant enterprise capital, the end result might be catastrophic. Functionality is not going to merely lag—it is going to be surrendered. Expertise will depart. Nationwide safety might be weakened. Delay kills innovation. Silence kills functionality. And the window to behave is already closing.
At this precise second, two UK-verified, government-backed programmes able to delivering decisive autonomous strike and digital warfare functionality are on the point of irrelevance , but each are programmes of report. One was hailed on nationwide tv and the press as the head of British innovation in subsequent era drone assault platform; the opposite was ratified by the Defence and Safety Accelerator (DASA). Each have the potential to remodel Military and Navy operations and contribute to each the USA quick wants, nonetheless the EW functionality lends itself to turning into a big layer for the USA Iron Dome and Golden Dome, but the companies and scientists chargeable for them are slowly dying on the vine as a result of neither UK authorities funding mechanisms nor European enterprise capital can transfer with urgency.
I might be folding the wants and capital necessities of those firms in my subsequent spherical of capital that might be going out shortly. Sadly, the plight of those fellow innovators mirrors the expertise of many together with myself.
I do know this as a result of I lived it. Because the founding father of a defence-focused firm, a stone’s throw from the constituency of the UK Minister of Defence Procurement, I nonetheless needed to take shift the main target of my agency to the US to outlive. In Britain, we scraped the sting of chapter. In America, we rebuilt to a tens of million-dollar valuation briefly order. I stay patriotic, I stay dedicated to supporting UK innovators, however the hole between rhetoric in Westminster and the lived actuality of entrepreneurs on the bottom is brutal. The Prime Minister can wave his palms, the Defence Secretary can discuss of urgency, an guarantee functionality that merely doesn’t exist, however discuss doesn’t capitalise firms, and delay doesn’t ship functionality.
Sixteen weeks in the past, I despatched letters and emails to government administrators, and CEOs throughout the UK, giant and small, Legacy primes and SMEs. Silence. I positioned calls, was promised a return that by no means got here. Throughout the Atlantic, I wrote to C-suites of billion-dollar companies. Replies got here inside days, generally hours. Chiefs of workers requested calls. Executives requested for functionality notes and decks. In Britain, silence.
Silence just isn’t impartial. It alerts a jammed pipeline, leaders ducking threat, focus turned elsewhere. It speaks to tradition. If a market can not even triage critical inbound provides that may generate quick traction or a proposal of capital, whereas orders collapse and programmes slip, it can not climb out of the opening with optimism alone.
The context you possibly can measure
The backdrop just isn’t in dispute. Company misery is excessive. Begbies Traynor’s Q2 Crimson Flag Alert counted roughly 669,000 UK corporations in “important monetary misery,” the very best degree they’ve recorded for this stage of the cycle.
The insolvency pipeline has been heavy. Authorities knowledge by the primary half of 2025 exhibits firm failures close to the highest of the post-pandemic vary.
Confidence on the small-firm finish is weak. The Federation of Small Companies reviews that, for the primary time within the index’s historical past, extra small corporations anticipate to shrink, promote, or shut than to develop. That isn’t a sign of a market that may afford to disregard succesful suppliers or companions who can repair gaps.
On funding, the image is blended at finest. The ONS recorded a drop in enterprise funding in Q2 at the same time as headline GDP grew 0.3% quarter-on-quarter; survey work and market commentary level to delicate intentions and fragile sentiment.
Entry to finance stays uneven and course of heavy. The British Enterprise Financial institution’s 2024/25 evaluate captures a system the place challenger and specialist lenders carry a rising share, whereas many smaller corporations nonetheless face arduous selections on debt, with threat urge for food skinny on either side. The federal government’s personal “entry to finance” name for proof underlines that the method is an issue in itself.
Late fee continues to choke working capital. Provider-payment dashboards and marketing campaign teams preserve reporting lengthy tails in fee days, with apparent knock-on results for SMEs that wish to put money into supply.
Put this collectively and also you get a system underneath pressure. But you’ll anticipate that pressure to sharpen focus and instil a battle derived from starvation. It has not. Which brings me again to defence.
Defence primes: quiet inboxes, loud stands
A few of the worst non-responses got here from UK legacy defence primes the very corporations that discuss most about “sovereign functionality.” These are the identical corporations that pitch on enormous stands at commerce exhibits. They wheel out idea demonstrators, mock-ups, and slideware that won’t attain a navy unit or a ship for years, if ever. The show funds is actual. The supply just isn’t.
Take a look at the general public report on programmes. The Ajax armoured car saga exhibits what occurs when course of outruns efficiency: years late and nonetheless grinding by trials after a stop-start path that ought to concern anybody who cares about land functionality or industrial credibility.
The defence secretary has promised to “ship at tempo,” and the Built-in Procurement Mannequin is now the headline reform. The phrases are proper: spiral improvement, open structure, tighter loops between consumer and provider. The query is whether or not behaviour strikes with the phrases.
Parliament has used plainer language. The Defence Committee referred to as the system “damaged” and set out a protracted record of fixes, from abilities to governance to business self-discipline. None of that may work if primes can not reply a provider’s electronic mail.
Commerce exhibits show the hole between posture and efficiency. DSEI is filled with “imaginative and prescient” and “ideas.” The Royal Navy PROTEUS experimental mothership is a case examine in easy methods to strive new issues at sea, however a lot of the present ground nonetheless leans on renderings and fashions. Patrons and engineers stroll previous full-scale mock-ups that don’t carry the ability, sensors, or autonomy stack claimed within the brochure. That showroom gloss doesn’t transfer a single mission set ahead.
There’s a second downside hiding in plain sight. In some corners of the present circuit, distributors re-badge imported programs and promote the label as “sovereign.” Safety our bodies on either side of the Atlantic have warned about dependence on Chinese language provide chains for uncrewed programs. The US response has been to curate authorized lists and push fast, compliant sourcing. Britain wants an sincere audit of what’s claimed as native and what’s, in reality, purchased in.
The SME promise that stalls within the funnel
Authorities coverage says spend ought to stream to SMEs. The MoD’s SME Motion Plan set a transparent goal and a timeline. Progress has inched ahead, however not sufficient, and never in ways in which founders can really feel on the inbox degree. Lengthy onboarding cycles, opaque assurance asks, and workers churn inside primes kill momentum. An SME can meet the safety bar, show technical advantage, and nonetheless by no means clear the admin wall.
The finance stack doesn’t assist. Banks need arduous collateral. Fairness markets for earlier-stage defence tech are shallow. The British Enterprise Financial institution’s fairness tracker exhibits funding down on 2023 and much beneath the 2021–2022 surge. That issues as a result of a agency that self-funds trials whereas ready on a primary’s reply will burn runway.
In the meantime, the fee tail from huge clients extends the ache. Each week that a big purchaser takes to signal NDAs, full questionnaires, or ebook a primary discovery name is per week the place the stability sheet will get weaker. The prompt-payment league tables make for poor studying; the hole between acknowledged coverage and provider expertise remains to be extensive.
Tradition beats coverage
Britain doesn’t endure from a scarcity of methods or opinions. It suffers from sluggish choices and weak follow-through inside corporations. If you would like proof, take a look at your personal inbox metrics. What number of provider emails get a reply inside two working days? What number of functionality notes get routed to an engineer with authority to evaluate? What number of safety questionnaires are sized to the precise threat?
Administration high quality issues as a lot as capital inventory. The UK’s personal survey work on administration practices exhibits extensive variance throughout corporations, with huge hyperlinks to productiveness and development. You may see the variance in how firms deal with the fundamentals: triage, assembly self-discipline, hand-offs between business, engineering, and compliance. You additionally see it in what number of layers a prospect should climb to discover a actual decision-maker.
The macro story confirms the micro. GDP grew 0.3% in Q2, however enterprise funding wobbled once more, and executives nonetheless report weak urge for food to commit. That isn’t a local weather that rewards ghosting potential companions who convey costed solutions to actual issues.
A comparability that ought to sting
Throughout the Atlantic, the Division of Protection has been pushing pace into the system. The Replicator initiative set an 18–24-month goal to discipline 1000’s of low-cost autonomous programs. The Protection Innovation Unit constructed processes to drag dual-use tech throughout the hole quicker and has public metrics on prototype transitions. The US has its personal procurement flaws, however the path of journey is obvious: shorter loops, direct traces to customers, and printed roadmaps.
I’m not claiming that each US prime replies to chilly outreach or that each US programme hits fielding targets. I’m saying that when my firm contacted US C-suites, we acquired solutions. We then acquired to the individuals who might decide functionality. In Britain, the door didn’t open.
I’m additionally not the one chief seeing this. Commerce our bodies and surveys seize it in several language: corporations anticipate to cut back; lenders and debtors sit on their palms; decision-makers keep away from dedication. The fee is development, and the fee is functionality.
The defence-sector actuality verify
A number of information to mark the board:
- Main programmes not on time erode belief within the provide base and the primes that lead it. Ajax is just one case; Parliament and the NAO have stuffed cabinets with reviews on overruns and re-plans.
- Reform plans exist. The Built-in Procurement Mannequin and associated speeches set the precise goals: open requirements, spiral supply, consumer pull. Execution is determined by business habits inside primes and on the MoD’s potential to purchase in smaller, quicker blocks.
- The SME channel remains to be clogged. Targets on paper don’t convert if primes can not course of outreach, run fast tech evaluations, and onboard new suppliers with out a six-month admin path.
- Showcase tradition just isn’t supply tradition. Commerce truthful spend doesn’t equal operational impact. Mock-ups don’t transfer the road of battle. The companies want manufacturing articles, spares, coaching, and software program updates that set up on Wednesday and fly on Thursday.
What wants to vary inside firms
- Reply the inbox. Set a service degree for exterior engagement. Two working days for an preliminary reply. Two weeks to a technical screening or a transparent no. No reply just isn’t an possibility. Measure it, publish it to your board, and hyperlink it to pay.
- Shorten provider onboarding. Strip varieties to threat. If you don’t purchase managed objects from a agency, don’t ask for a full defence-grade pack up entrance. Part the asks. Align to the precise knowledge you’ll want to run a purchase order order.
- Put engineers within the loop early. Enterprise improvement and procurement can not decide a novel sensor, an autonomy stack, or an electronic-warfare payload with out a technical proprietor. Create time-boxed “tech huddles” with authority to say sure to a lab demo.
- Fund quick trials. Maintain a small pot for paid evaluations with clear success standards. Weeks, not quarters. If the demo works, transfer to a restricted manufacturing call-off. If it fails, shut it out and share the explanations.
- Clear up claims of “sovereign functionality.” If a product is re-badged or assembled from imported core programs, say so. The client can nonetheless select it, however they need to accomplish that with open eyes about supply-chain threat. Construct a bill-of-materials disclosure that matches the safety want.
- Pay on time. If you would like SMEs in your provide chain, don’t starve them. Align follow together with your Immediate Fee Code assertion and present your knowledge.
- Reward supply over theatre. Shift funds from exhibition spectacle to discipline trials, integration sprints, cyber hardening, and spares. Patrons discover what works within the discipline.
- Undertake spiral as default. Cease ready for good. Ship a baseline, then improve by software program and modular swaps. The Built-in Procurement Mannequin factors to this path. Stroll it.
What authorities can do that may assist
- Simplify the SME path to income. Collapse duplicative assurance steps between primes and the MoD. If a agency clears a normal safety bar, make that moveable throughout frameworks.
- Implement fee requirements with enamel. Tie late-payment efficiency to eligibility for main contracts. Public cash shouldn’t stream to corporations that deal with small suppliers as a financial institution.
- Publish a residing pipeline for near-term, low-value buys. Present the following six months of repeatable wants: sensors, radios, datalinks, coaching programs, software program tooling. Let SMEs plan.
- Again fairness for Nationwide Safety. Develop matched-funds for defence-relevant tech. The British Enterprise Financial institution’s knowledge exhibits a step down from the 2021–22 surge; if we wish a pipeline of home suppliers, we want depth within the early development levels.
- Reduce the admin in debt markets. Treasury and regulators already referred to as for proof on small-business finance. Use it to take away deadweight and unblock credit score that helps actual orders.
A last phrase to leaders in British corporations
In case you are a managing director or a CEO within the UK who didn’t reply a reputable supply of assist from an organization that may add significant functionality and worth or cut back value, take a look at your course of. Ask who owned that enquiry and why it by no means reached a decision-maker. Ask why your groups had time to plan a present stand however to not run a one-hour technical evaluate with a provider who can repair a spot in your bid.
I reached out to you. I reached out to your friends. I reached out to primes within the defence sector. I wrote to the businesses that discuss loud about sovereign functionality. Many didn’t reply. The identical interval, US corporates answered, and actual conversations started.
We are able to speak about charges, power prices, and world shocks. We are able to speak about procurement reform and targets. None of it is going to change the truth that a market that won’t talk or collaborate is not going to win. The work begins with primary self-discipline: reply, assess, determine, purchase, combine, and ship. If we can not do this, the remaining is branding.
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